Slip win probability estimation, setting the money to bet
Stake matrix have to be in use, there are categories with additional circumstances which have influence on the final result in terms of the percentage of win. Stake in play should be estimated according to clear criteria that minimize the risk of lost. So that, when setting the level of invested capital, bellow’s categories should be taken into account. Detail bets creation method is here Typy Bukmacherskie na jutro:
For Stake 1-3 – There are no strong arguments for advantage of particular opponent, no way to verify your information. Releasing a bet on “Public Stars from TV”. The pounter faith in positive result. Referring to the Betting on win of visiting opponents. Faith in break after a a lot of wins. Public info about team injured players has been available for couple of days. Friendship match for noting. Betting based only on dropped odds without double check the reason. Betting low level leagues – out of top30 based on UEFA positions.
For stakes 4-6 – Placing a Bet on event which don’t contain arguments described in previous category stakes 1-3. Proven missing of 2 key players in one team. Betting for home win. Analysis of previous games looking for conditions of series of wins or “connected” matches. If H2H upcoming matches looks to be fixed game or “related” put a bet other way.
For Stakes 7-10: Confirmed lack of 5 and more key players from one team. Game for great stake. Events from top global leagues. Last minutes team news to situation into match-day squad 1hour before match start (ex. Team trainer decision to take away half of the key players). Checked circumstances described in above category stakes.
Proven lack of more than half the squad. “Letting go” of the game. Fulfilled conditions for previous stakes.
As a reminder, check non-stop H2H results between opponents. Exist Teams that have a friendship relation one to another in the form of giving back particular results. It can be seen by analysing historical games, where specific outocmes cyclically can happen. If we suspect such a result, the match have to be removed or from the other hand – just put a money accordingly.
By implementing conditions mentioned above and keeping consistency in action, you are minimizing the risk of losing capital and your chances for taking money back are incomparably higher.
Invest info bet
The final step of the releasing a good bet is, of course, investing capital the previously assigned stakes. You have to be fast when information found is really crucial and you are giving a bet with stake 10. Remember to stay one step in front of Bookies in the race for really strong tips. In the worst case, the Bookies will even remove the match from the offer. It’s worth to act quickly, finding for events no matter of odds movements, have accounts in various bookmakers and pick this bookmaker who forgot with the odds limitation. But, take into account that the beauty of games stick in the fact that sometimes unexpected outcomes occur. Seriously don’t invest all your money into one sure bet. Recommended methodology is to split your capital and invest at once 10% from total account, so in this case level of 30% of your total money is in line to stake 10 in our standard work of creation valuable bets.
What is the right way in making a highly efficient analysis of the event?
Real-time monitoring of media news, source of news, matches announcements, double checking of found data – this is the area of interest to make your betting slips at best quality. Presented resources will certainly giving as valuable sources, but in the long run, each of bettors will be able to create their own knowledge database. The goal is to take the crucial insiders named – game changer and filtered it against information rumours plus Fake Announces.
You are by some way familiar with the term “insider”. If not, check that, sport events that gain a definite favourite by a combination of different issues, for example, a high number of infections, etc. are defined as a “Insider”. Value bets events should be particularly taken into consideration because gives the best probability of a positive score.
Looking for the interesting games to bet, it’s worth to check odds at different suppliers (e.g. flashscore,Oddsportal, Typy Bukmacherskie na jutro), as well as odds slipping into bookmaker offer. Depending on time you have to conduct the news checking, you can start with events at which you see significant movements in odds – the time wchich is needed to search for valuable information will be shortened. Next advantage is the quick filtering of matches, which are worth to take for deep check in the first priority. From the other hand the initial odds has already went down and investment in such an tip will not bring such a profit no more. So, if you have enough free slots for analysis, you should start by looking for news no matter than of what odds are provided for events. If you can find “game changer” in front of the bookie, your potential earning may be several dozen percent higher.