Slip win probability estimation, setting the invested capital
Money adjusted matrix should be in use, there are conditions with external indicators which have influence on the final result in terms of the chances of win. Invested money value should be estimated taking into account clear criteria that minimize the risk of lost. Therefore, when setting the stake, bellow’s categories should be taken into account. Detail bets creation methodology is here betting tips championship:
For Stake 1-3 – No strong evidence for advantage of one opponent, no way to verify your information. Releasing a bet on “Public Stars from TV”. The pounter faith in victory. Referring to the Betting on win of visiting opponents. Faith in break after a series of draws. Public info about team injured players has been available for couple of days. Friendly match for noting. Betting based only on dropped odds without double check the reason. Betting amateur level leagues – out of top20 based on FiFA ranking.
For stakes 4-6 – Placing a Bet on event which don’t have arguments described in previous category stakes 1-3. Proven lack of 2 key players in one team. Betting for home victory. Analysis of previous matches in terms of series of losses or “connected” matches. If H2H upcoming games looks to be fixed game or “connected” bet a bet appropriately.
For Stakes 7-10: Proven missing of 5 and more key players from one team. Competition for great stake. Matches from top European leagues. Last minutes team news to situation into match-day squad 2 hours before starting whistle (ex. Team trainer decision to take away half of the strongest players). Checked circumstances described in above category stakes.
Confirmed lack of more than half the squad. “Letting go” of the match. Fulfilled requirements for above stakes.
We would like one more time mention, check non-stop H2H results between players. Exist Teams that have a friendly relation with each other in the form of taking back particular games. It can be seen by analysing historical games, where specific results cyclically appears. If we have in mind such a outcome, the match should be removed or from the other hand – just play accordingly.
By implementing conditions mentioned above and keeping consistency in betting, you are minimizing the risk of lost and your chances for winning are incomparably higher.
Placing a bet
The final step of the releasing a good analysis is, of course, placing real money the previously assigned stakes. You have to be fast when evidences found are really game echanged and you are estimating to bet with stake 9. Remember to stay one step in front of bookmaker in the race for really strong tips. In the worst case, the Bookies will even remove the match from the offer. It’s good practice to act quickly, finding for events no matter of odds movements, have accounts in various bookmakers and pick this bookmaker who overslept with the odds limitation. But, remember that the beauty of sport stick in the fact that sometimes unexpected losts occur. Seriously don’t introduce all your money into one strong favourite. Recommended practice is to split your budget and invest at once 10% from total budget, so in this case level of 30% of your total budget is adequate to stake10 in our standard work of creation valuable bets.
Why do we actually need to spend money for that ?
Let’s think about that, many tipsters, after years of unsuccessful betting at bookmakers, lost a great amount of capital and transferred in betting, end up frustrated, bankrupted and willing to pay to bounce back. Since there is a need to pay for tips from desperate players, there have to be a supply from “so- called experts”. But, are these professionals really different than tipsters who publish free tips Sites like betting tips championship
To give you overview, we boughtsubscriptions to Tips for money on the specialized forums which offer paid tips. Bettinglex checked what they offer.
– A lot of Websites are private looks to be one person site coming from the Balkan countries – like Montenegro. Doing payments via Skrill or PayPal, we were suspicious about where the money for tips would go. In two cases, we saw neither Tips nor the dollars deposited.
– At firs look we noticed the king of areas where the picks are sell. Offerents are boasted that the odds on their tips are not fluctuating. As we can see, the reason is that picks we received within a few months came from the Bolivian leagues, the other leagues of South America, or the really lower Asian leagues. However, the argument that the odds are not falling for these events is not true. Bookies also are checking information from such areas, so the odds go down for really valuable tips.
– Second argument provided offered by websites with paid tips are the so-called Money back for Tipes of Day, or the return of the abonnements in the event of a loss. Hmm It looks to unreal argument, especially since the return of the abonaments does not cover the capital losses in such bets.
-Checking in more detail what king of tips and matches that are provided as paid Tipes, in most cases they quite similar to the way of creation that are used by tipsters publishing free really good tips on the betting tips championship. 90% of the paid tips are from the football area. The one difference is in the lower leagues from which money paid tips are coming from. This is not a perfect strategy to consider this as deep analysis due to the unpredictability of such leagues. Despite all the arguments are in favour of individual sides unknown quality level of teams and missing access to information of such a tips, at the end it’s really great risk to invest even 1 Dollar.
– Next points to take into advance is that sold sips includes the commonly named Fixed matches. But speaking honestly, it is so hard to double check and verify the source of such an tips, whether the Offering sites actually have access to information or whether they are driven by Odds movements because the odds for such an events are quickly removed from bookmakers’ offers. Next point, bookmakers are using special software, such as Anti-Match Fixing by SportRadar, and suspected events are reported to dedicated authorities, so Entities responsible for match fixing are really fast eliminated and accused of money laundering. So after that, betting to fix matches is already too late,casue the capital that was supposed to be in that type has already been wagered, which is causing odds drops and eventually matches are removed from offer.
– Checking important point from paid betting tips area – Accommodation coupons, which were provided, we can find events with odds 1.3 in combination, across the globe football leagues. We wondered how we could spend the money on such a subscription. We can create such coupons ourselves by choosing good betting tips.
– Looking broadly on the effectiveness of paid betting coupons, the sites do not publish all the Stats, there are manipulation, the lost tips are not included in the statistics because they are accounted as returns, which is laying of their clients.
– Finally, providers who consider themselves as professionals are not so efficient looking on Yield value, even in comparison to Top Tipsters from betting tips championship. Exists in paid tips series of failures, where the guarantee provided by Sites is no longer even crucial, person simply feels cheated.
As a result that comes from the checking of paid betting tips is straight forward, it’s a waste of stakes for even one-day subscriptions. Investing in paid tips is a mistake, and the capital provided to buying them can be better spent on really valuable analysis.
However, it is worth to consider to buy tips, if we are able to confirm the success stories and their thruthness. If you do not have time for your own analysis, you can double check their history and trust to sites with paid tips, you can always to pay for subscription. As long as desperate players are willing to pay and take off the risk to someone else, these sites will continue to function.